Chinese Bank to Buy Stake in
U.S. Arm of Bank of East Asia
Does this bother
you and why has not the mainstream media picked up this? Okay. I
am not xenophobic but I am a patriot and a diehard capitalist. Having established that (for those of you who
do not know me very well) I must confess I am a bit perplexed about the Federal
Reserve’s recent decision to allow The Industrial and
Commercial Bank of China to purchase 80% of the Bank of East Asia. The only press I have seen to date has been
from the NY Times and the Wall Street Journal.
I will keep looking.
This is
a watershed moment as it is the first time a Chinese institution would have a
controlling stake in a United States financial institution (as reported today
in the NY Times and the Wall Street Journal).
I mean, I am fan of the Fed on the general principle that someone needs
to manage the money supply and supervise the banking system. But when they are overseeing the domestic
banks there are a multitude of regulatory guidelines and laws that actually
make the domestic banks pay attention (okay – the 2008 Crisis still happened,
but..). However, how is the Fed going to
get the Chinese banks to heel to their will.
After this transaction, the playground gets a little muddled and I am
afraid no one is paying attention.
The
Chinese government owns 65% of The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China. Let that number sink in. Who is going to have the most influence over
the bank: the Fed or the People’s Republic of China? If the question is too difficult for you then
you need to brush up on comparative politics (Hint: The Communist government controls the actions of the bank when it comes
to a pinch). This will be a problem. What is next – sale of one of our major
shipyards to the Chinese?
Our
banking system still has not recovered from the 2008-09 crises with earnings
well below where they need to be for every bank to be healthy and growth anemic
at the majority of the banks (JPM and GS notwithstanding). The additional competition from the Chinese
banks will apply more pressure (not at first according to the WSJ) overtime and
the action will be fierce as the Chinese government will want a decent return
on their investment (don’t we all?). The
FED can be satisfied that concerns about capitalization are non-existent since
the Chinese treasury is awash with U.S. Dollars. It must be appealing to the FED to have
additional liquidity strength in our market but what if the Chinese decide, say
in 10 or 5 years they do not want to play by the FED’s rules. What does the FED (We) do? Control of our own currency may be in the
hands of the socialist (there I said it) Chinese government.
Let me
know what you think.
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